Although we are present in a historic moment, the first EAPC-Meeting in Defence Ministers Session, we should not overlook the risk of actual situations in Europe.
The alliance has changed dramatically in the past 5 years and has become the basic element of the future European security architecture.
Engagement with non NATO-nations in former Yugoslavia certainly was a decisive step.
Estimating the situation in Bosnia-Herzegovina I see three military options:
- Remain with the same size of force as now
- Total withdrawal of the troops and remaining with observers and a rapid reaction force outside the mission area
- Reduction of the actual force strength.
But even more important are political options and there I also see three possibilities:
- The three ethnic groups will stay together in the country
- The country will fall apart - peacefully
- The country will fall apart - due to a crisis
As possible military options always are a consequence on the political goal everything should be undertaken to achieve a successful political and economy progress in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
This will include a certain military presence necessary to ensure the stability within the country and the region.
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