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Katere bodo največje grožnje v naslednjih desetih letih?

Getting a new defence product to market takes up to 10 years. So what do industry leaders feel we should be worrying about now? We ask six senior company representatives to reveal where they see the biggest threats developing.

Full video transcript

What will be the biggest

threats in the next 10 years?

We asked representatives

of six leading defence companies

what they think will be the biggest

threats in the next 10 years.

Here we present their answers.

We still don't understand

infrastructure protection

and how cyber can affect that.

As we sit here

at the entrance of the Bosporus

and you look

at all the shipping going through,

it wouldn’t take much to distort,

to disrupt the flow of that,

causing confusion and who is going

which way and so forth.

So, this is a serious threat

we have to pay attention to.

I think, again from

my commercial aircraft’s side,

we’re very concerned about it.

As commercial airplanes become

more and more digital and electronic,

we have actually started

to put cyber protection

into the software

of our commercial airplanes.

Because as they enter

an airport environment,

they’re starting

to exchange information.

And so we have to able to protect

the aircraft software itself.

So, a lot of issues coming

down the road, just on cyber alone.

For me...

Cyber.

The new global commons

is cyber, the network.

Every single item

that we have depends on cyber.

The timing signals from Satnav

fundamentally define

every single financial transaction.

All of our critical infrastructure

is controlled by some sort of network.

This is the...

has to be the area where

we’re going to face problems.

And we’re going to have

to spend a fortune actually.

There will be a massive shift

towards unmanned systems,

not just aircraft,

but unmanned systems.

There will be a massive increase

in interoperability,

in interconnectedness

of those systems

as they are deployed

around the world.

And many have called that

the ‘Internet of things’.

Just about every tangible device

could be connected in some way,

sharing information on the grid.

Not just your smartphone,

everything in your life

being somehow enabled

with some degree of connectivity.

You’ll see more dual use.

What used to be just

looking for enemy targets,

now can help you in some

of our satellite constellations today,

better understand the environment,

looking towards the Arctic,

where someone may have an issue

and need combat search

and rescue or better awareness.

I think the tools

for that are going to be

far more heavily relied on,

just as we do with our iPhone today.

Ten years ago it was just a phone.

We’re looking at

all those areas that allow

smaller forces to be more effective

anywhere a conflict is required.

So, whether it’s commanding control,

whether it’s joined ISTAR,

whether it’s cyber,

all those areas that

quote unquote connect forces

and allow them

to multiply the capability,

that’s one of the biggest focus areas.

I think basically

to fast reaction equipment,

to have a good surveillance capability

and possibility to move

the right equipment to exact targeting

will be the key going forward.

And then of course

it’s connected to information

technology in many parts.

And I think that’s probably

the thing that will be moving ahead

if we see the trends today.

The problem with trends is

that they will be interrupted

by other things.

What will be the biggest

threats in the next 10 years?

We asked representatives

of six leading defence companies

what they think will be the biggest

threats in the next 10 years.

Here we present their answers.

We still don't understand

infrastructure protection

and how cyber can affect that.

As we sit here

at the entrance of the Bosporus

and you look

at all the shipping going through,

it wouldn’t take much to distort,

to disrupt the flow of that,

causing confusion and who is going

which way and so forth.

So, this is a serious threat

we have to pay attention to.

I think, again from

my commercial aircraft’s side,

we’re very concerned about it.

As commercial airplanes become

more and more digital and electronic,

we have actually started

to put cyber protection

into the software

of our commercial airplanes.

Because as they enter

an airport environment,

they’re starting

to exchange information.

And so we have to able to protect

the aircraft software itself.

So, a lot of issues coming

down the road, just on cyber alone.

For me...

Cyber.

The new global commons

is cyber, the network.

Every single item

that we have depends on cyber.

The timing signals from Satnav

fundamentally define

every single financial transaction.

All of our critical infrastructure

is controlled by some sort of network.

This is the...

has to be the area where

we’re going to face problems.

And we’re going to have

to spend a fortune actually.

There will be a massive shift

towards unmanned systems,

not just aircraft,

but unmanned systems.

There will be a massive increase

in interoperability,

in interconnectedness

of those systems

as they are deployed

around the world.

And many have called that

the ‘Internet of things’.

Just about every tangible device

could be connected in some way,

sharing information on the grid.

Not just your smartphone,

everything in your life

being somehow enabled

with some degree of connectivity.

You’ll see more dual use.

What used to be just

looking for enemy targets,

now can help you in some

of our satellite constellations today,

better understand the environment,

looking towards the Arctic,

where someone may have an issue

and need combat search

and rescue or better awareness.

I think the tools

for that are going to be

far more heavily relied on,

just as we do with our iPhone today.

Ten years ago it was just a phone.

We’re looking at

all those areas that allow

smaller forces to be more effective

anywhere a conflict is required.

So, whether it’s commanding control,

whether it’s joined ISTAR,

whether it’s cyber,

all those areas that

quote unquote connect forces

and allow them

to multiply the capability,

that’s one of the biggest focus areas.

I think basically

to fast reaction equipment,

to have a good surveillance capability

and possibility to move

the right equipment to exact targeting

will be the key going forward.

And then of course

it’s connected to information

technology in many parts.

And I think that’s probably

the thing that will be moving ahead

if we see the trends today.

The problem with trends is

that they will be interrupted

by other things.

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George Bernard Shaw
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